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Thoughts, news and notes from the sports staff of The Saratogian newspaper, located in historic Saratoga Springs, New York. The gang in the corner office on Lake Avenue give you the post-game wrap-ups, news and notes from the games we cover and opinions about the sports we read about every day.

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

DFM Mock NFL Draft Analysis: Best Players Available



By ANDREW CHAMPAGNE
achampagne@saratogian.com
Twitter.com/AndrewChampagne

Earlier this afternoon, I took part in a Digital First Media mock NFL Draft, along with writers from around the country. It was a ton of fun, and thanks to everyone who took some time to check it out Wednesday.

In case you missed it, you can check out the way everything unfolded here. There are some top prospects that didn’t get picked by any of our writers, and this will serve as a way to break them down.

Quarterback: Everyone

Yep, not one team wound up using a first-rounder on a quarterback. I had command of the Bills and the Jets and was certainly tempted to take Geno Smith, but the Bills are way more likely to use a later selection on Ryan Nassib and the Jets had needs elsewhere.

Obviously, trades we hadn’t foreseen will play a huge role in the draft. Still, you have to think the Jaguars, who hold the first pick of the third round, will be licking their chops for a chance at Geno if this plays out this way.

Running back: Giovani Bernard, North Carolina

I’m a huge Bernard fan. He’s got some amazing game tape, and his stats bear that out. He’s a guy who grabs chunks of yardage at a time, can catch out of the backfield, and return kicks if needed.

He’s a little small, and that hurts his status considerably. However, he’s a great value in the second round, especially for teams looking for depth at running back or a guy that can fill a committee.

Wide receiver: Terrance Williams, Baylor

97 catches doesn’t mean what it used to anymore, apparently. Williams made a ton of big plays at Baylor last year, and in 2011, he was RG3’s primary receiving option on his way to a Heisman Trophy.

Wide receiver is a very deep position this year, and we had four wideouts (and a tight end) taken off the board in the first round. However, Williams may be one of the most NFL-ready players in the draft. He’s not a #1 receiver, but he could shine in the right system as a possession guy.

Offensive line: Menelik Watson, Florida State

The Seminoles saw three players from last year’s team get taken in the first round, and Watson and E.J. Manuel could both sneak into it as well. Watson is a very interesting case, as he actually played Division I basketball at Marist College before transferring to a junior college and then to Florida State.

Watson’s been rising up draft boards, and apparently aced pre-draft interviews with several teams in need of offensive tackles. Currently, I have him mocked early in the second round to Detroit, but he could wind up getting a call much earlier than that.

Defensive line: Margus Hunt, SMU

Hunt is one of the most intriguing athletes in the entire draft. He’s very inexperienced, but took over games at times, most notably in SMU’s bowl game. Depending on the scheme of the team he goes to, he can play either defensive end or defensive tackle. He may be a project, but he’ll either be a late-first or early-second round pick.

Linebackers: Alex Okafor, Texas; Kevin Minter, LSU

I like both of these guys a lot. Okafor is a low-risk player with a high motor who doesn’t take plays off. He dominated at both the Alamo Bowl and Senior Bowl, and there’s an outside chance he sneaks into the first round. I think he’d be a great fit for Denver at #28, but there are other options available who would be as well.

Meanwhile, Minter is an old-school, run-stopping linebacker, which means he may not fit for a lot of teams who are geared more towards stopping the pass. However, what he does, he does well, and he may very well wind up in Baltimore as the replacement for Ray Lewis.

Defensive back: Jamar Taylor, Boise State

A fast-rising corner, Taylor shined at the Combine, displaying a ton of speed. He’s in play at the back end of the first round, for sure, as you can never have too many talented corners in this pass-happy era of football.

I’ll be live-tweeting the NFL Draft from my personal account tomorrow night. Follow me at @AndrewChampagne for analysis and grades of every first-round pick.

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

2013 NFL Mock Draft (4/23/13): THREE ROUNDS

By ANDREW CHAMPAGNE
Twitter.com/AndrewChampagne

Thanks to Walter Cherepinsky for listing this draft on his database. If you want to take a look at a ton of different mocks, check out http://www.walterfootball.com . Also check out http://www.dcprosportsreport.com/MockDraft.htm and http://www.sbnation.com/nfl-mock-draft/2013/1/15/3869542/2013-nfl-mock-draft-database , as they were kind enough to link to us as well.

A quick clarification: I will not be predicting trades in any of my mock drafts. That’s too much speculation, even for a mock draft nut like me. If a trade is confirmed, I’ll throw it into the mock.

With that, on to the latest mock!

1) Kansas City Chiefs (2-14): Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M

I've had Luke Joeckel here for a while now, and there's no reason to change that at this point. He’s one of the best players in this draft class, and he fills a definite need after the departure of Eric Winston and with the Chiefs discussing a possible trade for Branden Albert.

2) Jacksonville Jaguars (2-14): Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon

This is the first wild card pick of the draft, as the Jags have needs pretty much everywhere. I wouldn't be surprised with anyone else I have in my top five, but for now, Jordan is the guy. He's the most versatile defender in the draft, with the physical ability to both rush the passer or cover slot receivers, and he's got the potential to be a building block for Jacksonville's defense going forward.

3) Oakland Raiders (4-12): Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida

This has been a pretty popular pick for pretty obvious reasons. Tommy Kelly has been released, and the defensive line was in shambles even when he was there. If Floyd gets taken by Jacksonville, I could see the Raiders going in a number of different directions, but for now, he goes to Oakland.

4) Philadelphia Eagles (4-12): Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan

This is as high as Geno Smith could go, and I actually had him here in my last mock. However, many have backed off of the Eagles going in that direction, so I will as well. Instead, I'll give them Fisher, one of the best players available and someone who'd fill a need at right tackle.

5) Detroit Lions (4-12): Ezekiel Ansah, DE/OLB, BYU

Ansah bounces back up the board with the slide of Geno Smith, and with Fisher off the board, he becomes the optimal need-filler for the Lions. Detroit lost Cliff Avril and Kyle Vanden Bosch, so there are huge holes to fill coming off the edge.

6) Cleveland Browns (5-11): Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama

Milliner is available here thanks to some concerns about a shoulder injury, but he'd be an excellent fit in Cleveland if the Browns keep the pick (a sizable if). Cleveland does have Joe Haden, who’s very good, but they don’t have anyone across from him after the departure of Sheldon Brown. Milliner is easily the top corner in the draft, and this gives Cleveland a secondary to build their entire defense around for years to come.

7) Arizona Cardinals (5-11): Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma
With Carson Palmer officially a Cardinal, Lane Johnson rises. Arizona’s offensive line may have been the worst in football a year ago, and they can fill huge needs with either Johnson or Chance Warmack. Johnson is the more conventional pick, and thusly my selection, but Warmack wouldn’t surprise me, either.

8) Buffalo Bills (6-10): Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
Buffalo may very well trade down and take Ryan Nassib. If they do, thereby passing on Geno Smith with him available at this spot, it's a hare-brained form of nepotism that won't work. Geno is easily the best quarterback prospect in the draft, and as such, I don't think the Bills can afford to pass him up if he's available here. If they do, it starts an absolute free-fall for the WVU standout, who may very well fall out of the first round.

9) New York Jets (6-10): Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
Lotulelei’s been cleared to play, which is great news. He was considered a top-five prospect before news of his heart condition leaked at the Combine, and he may rise back to that point before draft day. The Jets could use an impact player in the middle of their defensive line, so this could wind up being a great pick if Lotulelei’s still on the board.

10) Tennessee Titans (6-10): Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
In normal years, a guard in the top 10 would be a reach. However, this is far from a normal year, and Warmack is one of the best players available. There’s still a need at right guard, even after the signing of Andy Levitre, and this could really bolster Tennessee’s run game while giving Jake Locker time to grow as a quarterback.

11) San Diego Chargers (7-9): Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
Danario Alexander may wind up departing San Diego as a restricted free agent. If that happens, Philip Rivers wouldn’t have anything to work with in the passing game besides Antonio Gates. I’ve had Cordarelle Patterson here for a while, but his stock has reportedly fallen while Austin’s has steadily risen since the Combine.

12) Miami Dolphins (7-9): Jarvis Jones, DE/OLB, Georgia

Bjoern Werner was the pick, but his stock is dropping. Jones was once considered a top-five prospect, and he fills a need in Miami. The Dolphins need a presence opposite Cameron Wake, and Jones clearly has the potential to be a top-notch player. He’s a bit of a risk with his spinal condition, but if he pans out, he might be the steal of the draft.

13) New York Jets (6-10, from Tampa Bay (7-9)): Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas

Xavier Rhodes, who I had at #13 before the Darrelle Revis trade, could also be in the mix here. However, the Jets have Dawan Landry and not much else at the safety spot, and they're reportedly very interested in a few second-round caliber corners. Vaccaro will start immediately in New York, and he provides intelligence and sound fundamentals.

14) Carolina Panthers (7-9): Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri

There are people saying Richardson could go even earlier than this. He certainly has the athletic ability to, and this is probably as low as he’ll go. Carolina’s defensive line is porous, and the Panthers gave up several big games to opposing running backs in the 2012-13 season.

15) New Orleans Saints (7-9): Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU

Rob Ryan's aggressive 3-4 attack needs pass-rushing linebackers to be successful, and that’s exactly what Mingo is. The Saints defense was absolutely awful in 2012, and there are needs to fill all around it.

16) St. Louis Rams (7-8-1): Jonathan Cooper, OG/C, North Carolina

Even with the signing of Jake Long, the Rams’ offensive line needs an upgrade. Cooper is versatile and can play three different positions. D.J. Fluker may make sense here if Rodger Saffold is traded, but he’s still on the team, so for now, Cooper is the guy.

17) Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8): Cordarelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee

Patterson’s stock has slipped a bit over some character concerns, but he’s an excellent fit in Pittsburgh. The Steelers lost Mike Wallace to Miami in the offseason, so more depth is needed at receiver. Patterson is raw, but has tremendous athleticism and sky-high potential if he’s kept in line.

18) Dallas Cowboys (8-8): Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
Dallas is moving to a 4-3 defense, and Werner fits the mold of a 4-3 end pretty well. His stock has fallen a bit recently, but he's a safe, low-risk pick who fills a need. He's been a top-10 pick in previous mocks, so this could wind up being an excellent value for the Cowboys.

19) New York Giants (9-7): Alec Ogletree, LB, Georgia

The Giants may be searching for a defensive end, and could have jumped on Mingo if he was available (or selected Alex Okafor or Tank Carradine with this pick). In this mock, though, they’ll zero in on Ogletree, probably the top inside linebacker prospect in the draft. There are some character issues here, most notably his pre-Combine arrest, but the Giants released Michael Boley and have depth issues at that position.

20) Chicago Bears (10-6): D.J. Fluker, OT/OG, Alabama

I’m not as high on Fluker as others are. He’s not going to be a left tackle, and yet some have him off the board in the early-teens. However, Chicago’s offensive line does need help, and new head coach Marc Trestman will undoubtedly want to protect Jay Cutler.

21) Cincinnati Bengals (10-6): Xavier Rhodes, CB/S, Florida State

Rhodes slipped a bit in this mock, but that's due to bad luck, as he'd have been an excellent fit for Tampa Bay at #13 before the Revis deal. Cincinnati's pass defense isn't bad, but they also weren't all that great a year ago, and you can never have too many quality defensive backs, especially in the current pass-happy era of football.

22) St. Louis Rams (7-8-1, from Washington (10-6)): Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee

I considered mocking Cordarelle Patterson to St. Louis at #16, but offensive line was just too big a need and Cooper was just too strong a fit to pass up. Here, they don’t get Patterson, but they do get a guy who had a great Combine. Hunter ran a great 40 time there, and he gives an offense that’s in dire need of downfield threats a burner who can outrun corners on deep routes.

23) Minnesota Vikings (10-6): Manti Te’o, LB, Notre Dame

On the surface, this may seem like a puzzling pick. However, the Vikings have a huge need at linebacker, as their only proven starter there is Chad Greenway, and the team as a whole struggled against the pass last season, an area Te'o can instantly improve. Te'o suffered at the Combine, but Adam Schefter reported that he would not drop out of the first round, and he did improve his 40 time at Notre Dame's pro day.

24) Indianapolis Colts (11-5): Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina

I’ve had Johnathan Hankins here for a while, but concerns about his weight and work ethic mean he likely falls out of the first round. Williams has been a late riser, and plays the run and the pass as well as any front seven player left in the draft.

25) Minnesota Vikings (10-6, from Seattle (11-5)): Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama

Christian Ponder has to be banging his head against a wall. DeAndre Hopkins makes total sense here, but the fiasco with his hotel room at the Combine likely means a drop into the second round. However, Williams fills a big need at defensive tackle for the Vikings. He takes up a ton of space on the line and would earn a starting spot immediately.

26) Green Bay Packers (11-5): Jon Cyprien, S, Florida International
I think this pick might be a reach, but many draft experts have Cyprien sneaking into the first round, and he certainly fills a need in Green Bay. The Packers wanted Michael Huff, but saw him sign with the Ravens. Here, they get their replacement for Charles Woodson.

27) Houston Texans (12-4): Datone Jones, DE/DT, UCLA

I’ve had Houston taking a defensive tackle with this pick for a while, and there’s no reason to change that here. Jones is a versatile player who’s received some first-round buzz, and here, he breaks through to a team that could use some help alongside J.J. Watt on the defensive line.

28) Denver Broncos (13-3): Tank Carradine, DE, Florida State
I still think Alex Okafor would be a really nice fit here, but Carradine's stock is up to where I'd find it hard to believe he's not a first-round pick. He fits a need coming off the edge for Denver, and would ideally fill the shoes of the departed Elvis Dumervil.

29) New England Patriots (12-4): Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
Trufant could go much earlier than this; he was mocked to Cincinnati at #21 in my most recent mock. New England needs help in their secondary. Aqib Talib was a great acquisition, but there isn't much in their back seven besides him. Trufant's turned heads with performances at the Senior Bowl and the Combine.

30) Atlanta Falcons (13-3): Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame

Tony Gonzalez is not retiring despite doing his annual tap-dance around the subject. Still, he's not getting younger, and Tyler Eifert is easily the top tight end in the draft. He could easily go much earlier than this, and I think this is as late as he goes.

31) San Francisco 49ers (11-4-1): Alex Okafor, DE/OLB, Texas
The Niners may have a need behind Justin Smith, who turns 34 and is going into the final year of his contract. Okafor is a low-risk player who doesn't take plays off. He's excellent at getting into the backfield, and he's a guy that can excel in the right system.

32) Baltimore Ravens (10-6): Kevin Minter, LB, LSU

Minter is an old-school, run-stopping inside linebacker that may have trouble fitting into some new-age defensive schemes. However, an old-school, run-stopping inside linebacker just retired from Baltimore’s Super Bowl-winning team, so Minter would be a pretty nice fit for the Ravens.

SECOND ROUND

33) Jacksonville Jaguars: Matt Barkley, QB, USC

Anyone who still thinks Blaine Gabbert can be an effective starting quarterback needs to have their head examined. The Jags need to address that position in the draft, and if Matt Barkley is still on the board in the second round, this is a no-brainer.

34) San Francisco 49ers (from Kansas City): Margus Hunt, DE/DT, SMU
This is a luxury pick for the Niners, who can pretty much take the best player available at this juncture. In this case, Hunt is in the mix, and he may also fill a need on the defensive line if new signee Glenn Dorsey doesn't fill the shoes of the departed Isaac Sopuaga at defensive tackle.

35) Philadelphia Eagles: E.J. Manuel, QB, Florida State
The reason the Eagles may not pull the trigger for Geno Smith? Well, E.J. Manuel could be an even better fit for Chip Kelly's offense. His stock has gone up, and I have a hard time imagining his name not being called in the second round. I had him going to Minnesota before the Vikings signed Matt Cassel as a back-up, but he launches back into the second round here, and in a big way.

36) Detroit Lions: Menelik Watson, OT, Florida State
If you're keeping track at home, this is FSU's fifth player drafted in the first 36 picks, and they may wind up with one or two more before the second round ends. Now THAT'S impressive. Anyway, Watson's stock continues to rise, and Detroit absolutely has holes to fill on the offensive line after Jeff Backus's retirement and Gosder Cherilus's departure during free agency.

37) Cincinnati Bengals: Giovani Bernard, RB, North Carolina

Eddie Lacy’s stock is on the decline after a subpar pro day, and that’s great news for Bernard. He’s a guy that can split time with BenJarvus Green-Ellis right away while also contributing as a return man, and I think he’s got the potential to be a very useful back at the next level.

38) Arizona Cardinals: Kyle Long, OT/OG, Oregon

Two picks, two linemen for Arizona, a team that desperately needs help in the trenches. The Cardinals went through several quarterbacks last year and protected none of them. Here, though, Long can fill plenty of holes up front next to fellow rookie Lane Johnson.

39) New York Jets: D.J. Hayden, CB, Houston
It's been reported that Rex Ryan likes Hayden very much. In fact, he was the only head coach in attendance at his pro day. With the departure of Darrelle Revis, the Jets need at least one corner, and here, they get one.

40) Tennessee Titans: Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State

Tennessee’s defense was extremely weak last year, and they’ve spent time this offseason trying to upgrade it. They got several newcomers at safety, but are still in need of talented corners. Taylor fits that mold.

41) Buffalo Bills: Arthur Brown, LB, Kansas State

Brown would be a first-round pick if not for injury troubles that probably relegate him to the second round. Still, the Bills have needed a presence at inside linebacker since they let Paul Posluszny walk several years ago, and Brown can be that kind of player.

42) Miami Dolphins: Robert Alford, CB, Southeastern Louisiana
Alford will rise on draft day due to the immense speed he showed at the Combine. The Dolphins still have a need in their defensive backfield despite signing Brent Grimes, and they can address it with one of their two second-round picks.

43) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Damontre Moore, DE/OLB, Texas A&M

Tampa Bay’s front seven is dealing with a ton of injury woes and question marks heading into the 2013 season. Moore is a risk; he was once a top-five pick, but a ton of character issues and a horrible Combine performance means he’s available here. If he pans out, though, this could be a fantastic pick for the Bucs.

44) Carolina Panthers: Larry Warford, OG, Kentucky

While some of Carolina’s non-Cam Newton rushing woes were injury-related, it’s also true that the team’s offensive line has struggled at times. Warford is the best lineman available, especially after a very solid performance at the Senior Bowl.

45) San Diego Chargers: Dallas Thomas, OT/OG, Tennessee
Philip Rivers had a bad year in 2012, and part of that was because the Chargers couldn’t protect him. They have plenty of needs on their offensive line, and in Thomas, they get a versatile player who can be plugged in at several spots up front.

46) St. Louis Rams: Robert Woods, WR, USC

The Rams really DO need bodies at wide receiver. They lost a lot this offseason, but again, they get a chance to rebuild with a draft deep in talent at that position. Woods was once thought of as the best wideout in this class, but he took a backseat to Marquis Lee this past season. Still, he could be a very capable starter.

47) Dallas Cowboys: Kawann Short, DT, Purdue
Short is a great fit for Monte Kiffin's 4-3 defense. He's not the biggest guy, but he can rush the passer from the defensive tackle spot and provide a legitimate presence in the front seven. I had him going in the first round for a while, but this is a great spot for him to shine.

48) Pittsburgh Steelers: Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State
The Steelers seem to catch a falling prospect every year. Here, you can argue they did it twice in two rounds. Banks didn't have a great showing at the Combine, but he has a ton of game tape that is really solid. Pittsburgh's secondary isn't getting any younger, and if he doesn't have the speed to play corner at the NFL level, maybe he can move to safety and learn from Troy Polamalu.

49) New York Giants: Khaseem Greene, DE/OLB, Rutgers
The Giants love drafting pass-rushers, and they've got a need there now with Osi Umenyiora's defection to Atlanta. Greene has been rising quickly, and plays both the run and the pass very well.

50) Chicago Bears: DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson
Jay Cutler needs weapons opposite Brandon Marshall. Hopkins has the skills to be a first-round pick, but he torched that draft status when he supposedly trashed his hotel room at the Combine. Still, this is a value pick that new head coach Marc Trestman shouldn't pass up.

51) Washington Redskins: Blidi Wreh-Wilson, CB, Connecticut
Washington is sorely lacking in their back seven, and because of it, Wreh-Wilson will have every opportunity to play from day one.

52) Minnesota Vikings: Keenan Allen, WR, Cal
Christian Ponder finally gets a secondary receiving option to work with here, and I think it could be one of the steals of the draft. I had Allen originally being taken by the Vikings in the first round, but character concerns caused a big slide. Still, he's an excellent value, and here, he gets to go somewhere where he should play right away.

53) Cincinnati Bengals: Corey Lemonier, DE/OLB, Auburn
This may be a bit of a reach, but Cincinnati has questions about their depth at linebacker. Here, they get someone who can rotate between the line and the outside linebacker spot. Lemonier is a bit raw from a technical standpoint, but he had a great Combine that included a 4.6 40 time.

54) Miami Dolphins: Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State

This pick may wind up going to Kansas City if Branden Albert gets moved, but for now, Miami still has it. I had Hankins near the back end of the first round for a while, but concerns about his weight and work ethic caused a drop. However, he fits in Miami, as several defensive linemen have contracts that will expire after this upcoming season.

55) Green Bay Packers: John Jenkins, DT, Georgia
I had Jenkins in my second round earlier this year, but he fell out due to others ascending draft boards. However, he'd be a pretty nice fit in Green Bay next to B.J. Raji on the defensive line. He's a massive presence, and a reasonable value at the back end of the second round.

56) Seattle Seahawks: Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU
A huge, huge fall continues for Montgomery, but Pete Carroll hasn't shied away from taking players with character issues. If he coaches Montgomery up and gets all his talent out of him, this may wind up being the steal of the draft.

57) Houston Texans: Quinton Patton, WR, Louisiana Tech

Houston has long been searching for a #2 receiver behind Andre Johnson. Patton didn’t play against great competition at Louisiana Tech, but made the most of his opportunities at both the Senior Bowl and the Combine.

58) Denver Broncos: Eric Reid, S, LSU

Reid slipped in this mock through no fault of his own, and he may be a welcome addition in Denver. Their secondary was awful against Joe Flacco, and 37-year-old Champ Bailey may finally be showing his age.

59) New England Patriots: Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor
The Patriots lost Wes Welker and Brandon Lloyd, and may not have either part of their two-headed monster at tight end at 100% for the early part of the season. Because of that, they need to address the wide receiver position with this pick. Williams had a huge senior season at Baylor, and I truly believe he's a sleeper prospect who could be an NFL-ready wideout.

60) Atlanta Falcons: Brandon Jenkins, DE, Florida State
Atlanta signed Osi Umenyiora, but that doesn't mean the Falcons are done upgrading their front seven. They had huge depth issues at defensive end last year even during their stellar season. Jenkins has some injury concerns, but at his best, he's an impact player.

61) San Francisco 49ers: D.J. Swearinger, S, South Carolina

San Francisco’s front seven is fantastic, but their group of safeties is a question mark, especially after the defection of DaShon Goldson. Swearinger, a captain for the Gamecocks and a physical presence, hits hard and covers well, so he should be an instant upgrade.

62) Baltimore Ravens: David Amerson, CB/S, N.C. State
Baltimore's secondary is a huge question mark. Lardarius Webb suffered a bad season-ending injury, and Ed Reed signed with Houston. Amerson adds versatility to a group that could have plenty of needs when it tries to defend its Super Bowl title.

THIRD ROUND

63) Kansas City Chiefs: Terron Armstead, OT, Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Andy Reid loves drafting offensive linemen, and he's preparing for another such draft by releasing Eric Winston and shopping Branden Albert. Armstead turned heads at the Combine, and is probably locked in as a day-two selection.
64) Jacksonville Jaguars: Barrett Jones, OG/C/OT, Alabama
I wish I could have mocked Jones higher, but him not being a true offensive tackle hurts. That said, Jacksonville has needs both on the offensive line and in terms of leadership. Jones can fill plenty of those.

65) Detroit Lions: Justin Pugh, OT/OG, Syracuse
I'm not as impressed with Pugh as some others are. There are a few mockers out there who have him as a possible first-round pick. That said, as mentioned earlier, Detroit has holes to full up front, and Pugh can help do that.
66) Oakland Raiders: Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse
This is an appropriate spot for Nassib. I don't get the hype surrounding him, as he quarterbacked a slightly above-average college team to an 8-5 season against a so-so schedule. However, Oakland desperately needs help under center after trading Carson Palmer, so this could work.

67) Philadelphia Eagles: Darius Slay, CB, Mississippi State
The Eagles let Nnamdi Asomugha walk, but corner was a need even before that decision (I had them taking Milliner fourth overall for several mocks). Here, they get a little bit of a steal, as some see Slay as a second-round pick.
68) Cleveland Browns: Stedman Bailey, WR, West Virginia
The Browns let Josh Cribbs go, and they need a wideout opposite Josh Gordon. Gordon played very well in spots last year, but he can't carry an offense. Bailey quietly posted great numbers at WVU, and he should earn immediate playing time in Cleveland.
69) Arizona Cardinals: Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford
Bruce Arians likes to utilize multiple tight ends, and Ertz has been one of the best players available since midway through the second round. Here, he can help take some attention away from Larry Fitzgerald, provide another option in the passing game, and provide blocking assistance to an offensive line that desperately needs it. Bottom line: Ertz is a STEAL at this point.
70) Tennessee Titans: Jamie Collins, DE/OLB, Southern Mississippi
Tennessee will likely draft a ton of defensive players this year, and I think that continues here. Collins is one of the best players available, and he can play in several spots on Tennessee's mediocre front seven.
71) Buffalo Bills: Markus Wheaton, WR, Oregon State
Buffalo needs a #2 wide receiver to take attention away from Stevie Johnson. Wheaton has risen up draft boards as of late, and if he's available at this point, Buffalo would do very well to grab him.
72) New York Jets: Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama
When the Jets were successful under Rex Ryan, their identity was as a power-running team. They currently don't have a starting running back, as Shonn Greene left for Tennessee. Lacy gives them a downhill runner with solid instincts, something they don't have right now.
73) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Dwayne Gratz, CB, UConn
Darrelle Revis is obviously a huge help, but depth is still an issue in the secondary. Ronde Barber isn't getting any younger, and there are some injury questions about Revis dating back to last year.
74) San Francisco 49ers: Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin
As most of San Francisco's picks will be, this is a luxury, best-player-available pick. Frank Gore turns 30 next month and already has a lot of mileage on him. Kendall Hunter hasn't been bad, but adding another high-quality back couldn't hurt (and may be trade bait for a team that is in more need of depth at that position).
75) New Orleans Saints: Tyrann Mathieu, CB/S, LSU
The ultimate high-risk, high-reward pick in this draft, but the Saints are desperate for defensive help. Again, their defense last year was among the worst in NFL history in terms of points allowed, so they need help pretty much everywhere. Mathieu, while undersized, is a ball hawk who can also contribute on special teams.
76) San Diego Chargers: Sio Moore, DE/OLB, UConn
Shaun Phillips left, creating a hole coming off the edge. Moore was a three-year starter for the Huskies, and while he doesn't have sky-high potential, he's a safe pick that should become a dependable NFL starter.
77) Miami Dolphins: Brian Winters, OG, Kent State
Winters is one of the better players available, and he can compete for time right away on Miami's retooled offensive line. There are reportedly concerns about right guard John Jerry's fit in the Dolphins offensive scheme.
78) St. Louis Rams: Phillip Thomas, S, Fresno State
The Rams have a huge weakness at safety, but get to fill it in a big way. There are lots of players with second-round talent that have slipped through the cracks in this mock, and Phillips is one of those guys.
79) Pittsburgh Steelers: Travis Kelce, TE, Cincinnati
Heath Miller isn't getting younger, and he missed part of 2012 with an injury. He turns 31 this October, and it may be time to start grooming a replacement.
80) Dallas Cowboys: Shamarko Thomas, S, Syracuse
Dallas has a big need at safety. I had them drafting Kenny Vaccaro in the first round of my last mock. He was gone before the #18 pick, but Thomas is a nice value at this point who should be able to compete for playing time right away.
81) New York Giants: Kiko Alonzo, LB, Oregon
Depth at linebacker is a big issue for the Giants, as I mentioned when they took Alec Ogletree in the first round. The Giants usually take guys who fall, and through no fault of his own, that's what happened to Alonzo.

82) Miami Dolphins: Marquise Goodwin, WR, Texas
Goodwin had a huge Combine, running a 4.21 40-yard dash. His pro day was also impressive, as he recorded a 42-inch vertical leap. Mike Wallace was a valuable addition to the team, but this gives Miami another deep threat to work with.
83) Minnesota Vikings: Travis Frederick, OG/C, Wisconsin
Depth on the offensive line is always a plus, and Minnesota may be looking to upgrade at guard. Frederick is also the consensus top center in this year's draft class.
84) Cincinnati Bengals: Logan Ryan, CB, Rutgers
You can never have too many talented corners. Ryan could have gone a couple of times earlier in the third round, and here, he could compete for time in the nickel packages.
85) Washington Redskins: William Gholston, DE, Michigan State
This is more of an insurance pick than anything else. Brian Orakpo and Adam Carriker both missed a ton of time last season due to season-ending injuries, and depth behind them can't be a bad thing.
86) Indianapolis Colts: Johnathan Franklin, RB, UCLA
Donald Brown hasn't amounted to much, and Vick Ballard, while an OK complementary back, isn't anything to write home about, either. Adding another back to the mix couldn't hurt, and some believe Franklin is one of the top two or three backs in a fairly-deep class.
87) Seattle Seahawks: Da'Rick Rogers, WR, Tennessee Tech
Percy Harvin should be a huge help to a receiving corps that didn't have a big-play threat last year. However, more depth is probably needed, and Rogers has flashed tremendous talent.
88) Green Bay Packers: David Bakhtari, OT/OG, Colorado
Green Bay had some issues up front last year, and those won't get any easier with the retirement of Jeff Saturday. Bakhtari is versatile, though, and should be able to help out.
89) Houston Texans: Jon Bostic, OLB, Florida
Some help is needed at outside linebacker after Connor Barwin went to Philadelphia in free agency. Bostic is very good against the run and ran a sub-4.6 40 at the Combine.
90) Denver Broncos: Le'Veon Bell, RB, Michigan State
I'm not as much of a fan of Bell as others are. He doesn't have a lot of lateral quickness, and in the wrong role, he won't be an effective back. However, this is a good fit. Knowshon Moreno probably deserves a go at the full-time starting spot, but while Ronnie Hillman has speed, Bell can step in in short-yardage situations. He's also not a bad receiver, which could mean more playing time.
91) New England Patriots: Bennie Logan, DT, LSU
The Patriots have a hole at defensive tackle next to Vince Wilfork, who isn't getting any younger. I had Logan in the second round of some earlier mock drafts. He slips a little due to his underwhelming size, but he's still got the skills to be a solid NFL player.

92) Atlanta Falcons: Chase Thomas, OLB, Stanford
Thomas didn't get rave reviews because he's not a freak athlete. However, he's a high-character guy with a great motor, and Atlanta needs to improve its depth at outside linebacker.

93) San Francisco 49ers: Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas
San Francisco acquired Colt McCoy from the Browns, but may be looking for their own young quarterback to develop behind Colin Kaepernick. None of the remaining QB's are particularly mobile, but Wilson showed solid arm strength and the ability to extend plays, and he's probably the best fit for the 49ers.

94) Baltimore Ravens: Aaron Dobson, WR, Marshall
Anquan Boldin left, meaning the Ravens need a big target to use as a possession receiver. Dobson is 6'3” and certainly fits that mold, and his stock has been rising of late. He's run several 40 times in the low-4.4 range, and may have earned a call on day two.
95) Houston Texans: Gavin Escobar, TE, San Diego State
James Casey left for Philadelphia, and the Texans, who love using multiple tight ends, will likely be looking for another one in the middle rounds of the draft. The best one left is Escobar, a 6'6”, 250-pounder who runs well for his size.
96) Kansas City Chiefs: A.J. Klein, LB, Iowa State
Kansas City has needed help at inside linebacker since the unthinkable tragedy involving Jovan Belcher happened late last season. Here, they fill a hole with a low-risk, sound-tackling player who can occasionally drop back into zone coverage and defend the pass.
97) Tennessee Titans: Montori Hughes, DT, Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee has lacked a presence inside since the days of Albert Haynesworth. Hughes goes 6'4” and 330 pounds, and can rush the passer from an interior position as well.

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

2013 NFL Mock Draft (4/17/13): TWO ROUNDS



By ANDREW CHAMPAGNE
Twitter.com/AndrewChampagne

Thanks to Walter Cherepinsky for listing this draft on his database. If you want to take a look at a ton of different mocks, check out http://www.walterfootball.com . Also check out http://www.dcprosportsreport.com/MockDraft.htm and http://www.sbnation.com/nfl-mock-draft/2013/1/15/3869542/2013-nfl-mock-draft-database , as they were kind enough to link to us as well.

A quick clarification: I will not be predicting trades in any of my mock drafts. That’s too much speculation, even for a mock draft nut like me. If a trade is confirmed, I’ll throw it into the mock.

With that, on to the latest mock!

1) Kansas City Chiefs (2-14): Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M

I've had Luke Joeckel here for a while now, and there's no reason to change that at this point. He’s one of the best players in this draft class, and he fills a definite need after the departure of Eric Winston and with the uncertainty of Branden Albert beyond the 2013 season.

2) Jacksonville Jaguars (2-14): Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon

This is the first wild card pick of the draft, as the Jags have needs pretty much everywhere. I wouldn't be surprised with anyone else I have in my top five, but for now, Jordan is the guy. He's the most versatile defender in the draft, with the physical ability to both rush the passer or cover slot receivers, and he's got the potential to be a building block for Jacksonville's defense going forward.

3) Oakland Raiders (4-12): Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida

This has been a pretty popular pick for pretty obvious reasons. Tommy Kelly has been released, and the defensive line was in shambles even when he was there. If Floyd gets taken by Jacksonville, I could see the Raiders going in a number of different directions, but for now, he goes to Oakland.

4) Philadelphia Eagles (4-12): Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

I don’t love this pick, especially when the Eagles have some glaring needs elsewhere that can be addressed in big ways with this pick. That said, if they want a quarterback, they won’t be able to do better than Smith in this spot. Michael Vick is a question mark due to his age and injury history, and Nick Foles doesn’t fit Chip Kelly’s offense. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Eagles take Dee Milliner or Eric Fisher and take E.J. Manuel in the second or third round, but for now, Smith is the pick.

5) Detroit Lions (4-12): Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan

I'm a little torn between Fisher and Ezekiel Ansah, as both fill huge needs. This is based solely on the current draft class, one that's rich in defensive talent but not in quality offensive linemen. The Lions lost Gosder Cherilus to free agency and Jeff Backus to retirement, so Fisher obviously fills a pretty big gap.

6) Cleveland Browns (5-11): Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama

I’ve had Ezekiel Ansah going here for quite a while, but Milliner is available here after the Eagles opt for Geno Smith. Cleveland does have Joe Haden, who’s very good, but they don’t have anyone across from him after the departure of Sheldon Brown. Milliner is easily the top corner in the draft, and this gives Cleveland a secondary to build their entire defense around for years to come.

7) Arizona Cardinals (5-11): Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma

With Carson Palmer officially a Cardinal, Lane Johnson rises. Arizona’s offensive line may have been the worst in football a year ago, and they can fill huge needs with either Johnson or Chance Warmack. Johnson is the more conventional pick, and thusly my selection, but Warmack wouldn’t surprise me, either.

8) Buffalo Bills (6-10): Ezekiel Ansah, DE/OLB, BYU

Geno Smith rising means that someone falls to the Bills. In this case, that’s Ansah, who may be one of the best athletes in the entire draft class. He’s got the potential to be a top-notch pass-rusher off the edge, and here, he gives Buffalo’s front seven another weapon in their struggle to regain relevance in the AFC East.

9) New York Jets (6-10): Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah

Lotulelei’s been cleared to play, which is great news. He was considered a top-five prospect before news of his heart condition leaked at the Combine, and he may rise back to that point before draft day. The Jets could use an impact player in the middle of their defensive line, so this could wind up being a great pick if Lotulelei’s still on the board.

10) Tennessee Titans (6-10): Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama

In normal years, a guard in the top 10 would be a reach. However, this is far from a normal year, and Warmack is one of the best players available. There’s still a need at right guard, even after the signing of Andy Levitre, and this could really bolster Tennessee’s run game while giving Jake Locker time to grow as a quarterback.

11) San Diego Chargers (7-9): Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia

Danario Alexander may wind up departing San Diego as a restricted free agent. If that happens, Philip Rivers wouldn’t have anything to work with in the passing game besides Antonio Gates. I’ve had Cordarelle Patterson here for a while, but his stock has reportedly fallen while Austin’s has steadily risen since the Combine.

12) Miami Dolphins (7-9): Jarvis Jones, DE/OLB, Georgia

Bjoern Werner was the pick, but his stock is dropping. Jones was once considered a top-five prospect, and he fills a need in Miami. The Dolphins need a presence opposite Cameron Wake, and Jones clearly has the potential to be a top-notch player. He’s a bit of a risk with his spinal condition, but if he pans out, he might be the steal of the draft.

13) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9): Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State

The Aqib Talib trade created a huge hole, and Ronde Barber has to retire at some point, right? I had Desmond Trufant here, but all indications are that Rhodes, once thought to be the second-best cornerback prospect in the draft, has risen back up draft boards.

14) Carolina Panthers (7-9): Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri

There are people saying Richardson could go even earlier than this. He certainly has the athletic ability to, and this is probably as low as he’ll go. Carolina’s defensive line is porous, and the Panthers gave up several big games to opposing running backs in the 2012-13 season.

15) New Orleans Saints (7-9): Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU

Rob Ryan's aggressive 3-4 attack needs pass-rushing linebackers to be successful, and that’s exactly what Mingo is. The Saints defense was absolutely awful in 2012, and there are needs to fill all around it.

16) St. Louis Rams (7-8-1): Jonathan Cooper, OG/C, North Carolina

Even with the signing of Jake Long, the Rams’ offensive line needs an upgrade. Cooper is versatile and can play three different positions. D.J. Fluker may make sense here if Rodger Saffold is traded, but he’s still on the team, so for now, Cooper is the guy.

17) Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8): Cordarelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee

Patterson’s stock has slipped a bit over some character concerns, but he’s an excellent fit in Pittsburgh. The Steelers lost Mike Wallace to Miami in the offseason, so more depth is needed at receiver. Patterson is raw, but has tremendous athleticism and sky-high potential if he’s kept in line.

18) Dallas Cowboys (8-8): Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas

The Cowboys reportedly really like Vaccaro, and he fills a position of need for them. Dallas’s secondary hasn’t been great in quite some time, but the sure-tackling safety joins Morris Claiborne as another piece for Monte Kiffin’s defense.

19) New York Giants (9-7): Alec Ogletree, LB, Georgia

The Giants may be searching for a defensive end, and could have jumped on Mingo if he was available (or selected Alex Okafor or Damontre Moore with this pick). In this mock, though, they’ll zero in on Ogletree, probably the top inside linebacker prospect in the draft. There are some character issues here, most notably his pre-Combine arrest, but the Giants released Michael Boley and have depth issues at that position.

20) Chicago Bears (10-6): D.J. Fluker, OT/OG, Alabama

I’m not as high on Fluker as others are. He’s not going to be a left tackle, and yet some have him off the board in the early-teens. However, Chicago’s offensive line does need help, and new head coach Marc Trestman will undoubtedly want to protect Jay Cutler.

21) Cincinnati Bengals (10-6): Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington

Trufant was very good at both the Senior Bowl and the Combine. Cincinnati's pass defense isn't bad, but they also weren't all that great a year ago, and you can never have too many quality defensive backs, especially in the current pass-happy era of football.

22) St. Louis Rams (7-8-1, from Washington (10-6)): Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee

I considered mocking Cordarelle Patterson to St. Louis at #16, but offensive line was just too big a need and Cooper was just too strong a fit to pass up. Here, they don’t get Patterson, but they do get a guy who had a great Combine. Hunter ran a great 40 time there, and he gives an offense that’s in dire need of downfield threats a burner who can outrun corners on deep routes.

23) Minnesota Vikings (10-6): Manti Te’o, LB, Notre Dame

I actually have the Vikings taking Te’o two picks earlier, simply because Keenan Allen’s stock is falling with news he may have tested positive for drugs at the Combine. On the surface, this may seem like a puzzling pick. However, the Vikings have a huge need at linebacker, as their only proven starter there is Chad Greenway, and the team as a whole struggled against the pass last season, an area Te'o can instantly improve. Te'o suffered at the Combine, but Adam Schefter reported that he would not drop out of the first round, and he did improve his 40 time at Notre Dame's pro day.

24) Indianapolis Colts (11-5): Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina

I’ve had Johnathan Hankins here for a while, but concerns about his weight and work ethic mean he likely falls out of the first round. Williams has been a late riser, and plays the run and the pass as well as any front seven player left in the draft.

25) Minnesota Vikings (10-6, from Seattle (11-5)): DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson

Minnesota needs wide receivers, plainly and simply. They have nobody of substance outside of the newly-acquired Greg Jennings, and that needs to change. Fortunately, this draft is pretty solid with regard to young wideouts, and here, Minnesota gets one that can compete for time right away.

26) Green Bay Packers (11-5): Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State

Banks didn’t do himself any favors at the Combine, but his game tape is solid and there’s no doubt Green Bay has voids to fill in the secondary. Charles Woodson is moving on, and the unit wasn’t anything special this past year anyway.

27) Houston Texans (12-4): Datone Jones, DE/DT, UCLA

I’ve had Houston taking a defensive tackle with this pick for a while, and there’s no reason to change that here. Jones is a versatile player who’s received some first-round buzz, and here, he breaks through to a team that could use some help alongside J.J. Watt on the defensive line.

28) Denver Broncos (13-3): Alex Okafor, DE/OLB, Texas

The Broncos have brought in a ton of quality players in free agency, but they lost Elvis Dumervil thanks to an error in paperwork. They need to find someone opposite Von Miller, and Okafor could be that guy. He's a low-risk player who doesn't take plays off, and he turned heads with his performances at the Alamo Bowl and Senior Bowl.

29) New England Patriots (12-4): Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama

Williams has seen his draft stock go way up, and it's likely he now goes at the back end of the first round. The Patriots are lacking in the middle of the defensive line, and Williams can take up a ton of space while learning from Vince Wilfork.

30) Atlanta Falcons (13-3): Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame

Tony Gonzalez is not retiring despite doing his annual tap-dance around the subject. Still, he's not getting younger, and Tyler Eifert is easily the top tight end in the draft. He could easily go much earlier than this, and I think this is as late as he goes.

31) San Francisco 49ers (11-4-1): Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State

The Niners may have a need behind Justin Smith, who turns 34 and is going into the final year of his contract. Werner slipped a long way, only a small part of it due to a recent drop in stock, but he lands in a great situation here.

32) Baltimore Ravens (10-6): Kevin Minter, LB, LSU

Minter is an old-school, run-stopping inside linebacker that may have trouble fitting into some new-age defensive schemes. However, an old-school, run-stopping inside linebacker just retired from Baltimore’s Super Bowl-winning team, so Minter would be a pretty nice fit for the Ravens.

SECOND ROUND

33) Jacksonville Jaguars: Matt Barkley, QB, USC

Anyone who still thinks Blaine Gabbert can be an effective starting quarterback needs to have their head examined. The Jags need to address that position in the draft, and if Matt Barkley is still on the board in the second round, this is a no-brainer.

34) San Francisco 49ers (from Kansas City): Margus Hunt, DE/DT, SMU

This is a luxury pick for the Niners, who can pretty much take the best player available at this juncture. In this case, Hunt is in the mix, and he may also fill a need on the defensive line if new signee Glenn Dorsey doesn't fill the shoes of the departed Isaac Sopuaga at defensive tackle.

35) Philadelphia Eagles: Barrett Jones, OG/C/OT, Alabama

I might be alone in mocking Jones as high as I am, but the guy has a ton of things going for him. His intangibles and leadership qualities are huge, and he can play multiple positions on the offensive line.

36) Detroit Lions: Tank Carradine, DE, Florida State

Carradine is a bit of a risk coming off of an injury, but all signs are that he’s 100 percent heading into the draft. That’s good, because the Lions desperately need help at defensive end. Cliff Avril and Kyle Vanden Bosch both left, so there are several holes Carradine can fill assuming he’s ready to go.

37) Cincinnati Bengals: Giovani Bernard, RB, North Carolina

Eddie Lacy’s stock is on the decline after a subpar pro day, and that’s great news for Bernard. He’s a guy that can split time with BenJarvus Green-Ellis right away while also contributing as a return man, and I think he’s got the potential to be a very useful back at the next level.

38) Arizona Cardinals: Kyle Long, OT/OG, Oregon

Two picks, two linemen for Arizona, a team that desperately needs help in the trenches. The Cardinals went through several quarterbacks last year and protected none of them. Here, though, Long can fill plenty of holes up front next to fellow rookie Lane Johnson.

39) New York Jets: Keenan Allen, WR, Cal

The Jets need help behind Santonio Holmes at wide receiver. Allen is a first-round talent, but character issues caused him to drop this far.

40) Tennessee Titans: Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State

Tennessee’s defense was extremely weak last year, and they’ve spent time this offseason trying to upgrade it. They got several newcomers at safety, but are still in need of talented corners. Taylor fits that mold.

41) Buffalo Bills: Arthur Brown, LB, Kansas State

Brown would be a first-round pick if not for injury troubles that probably relegate him to the second round. Still, the Bills have needed a presence at inside linebacker since they let Paul Posluszny walk several years ago, and Brown can be that kind of player.

42) Miami Dolphins: Menelik Watson, OT, Florida State

Watson's stock is on the rise, partially due to his talent and partially due to the “tackles rising on draft day” principle. At any rate, there's no doubt Miami needs reinforcements up front. Jake Long left, and Watson could start from day one out of need.

43) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Damontre Moore, DE/OLB, Texas A&M

Tampa Bay’s front seven is dealing with a ton of injury woes and question marks heading into the 2013 season. Moore is a risk; he was once a top-five pick, but a ton of character issues and a horrible Combine performance means he’s available here. If he pans out, though, this could be a fantastic pick for the Bucs.

44) Carolina Panthers: Larry Warford, OG, Kentucky

While some of Carolina’s non-Cam Newton rushing woes were injury-related, it’s also true that the team’s offensive line has struggled at times. Warford is the best lineman available, especially after a very solid performance at the Senior Bowl.

45) San Diego Chargers: Dallas Thomas, OT/OG, Tennessee

Philip Rivers had a bad year in 2012, and part of that was because the Chargers couldn’t protect him. They have plenty of needs on their offensive line, and in Thomas, they get a versatile player who can be plugged in at several spots up front.

46) St. Louis Rams: Robert Woods, WR, USC

The Rams really DO need bodies at wide receiver. They lost a lot this offseason, but again, they get a chance to rebuild with a draft deep in talent at that position. Woods was once thought of as the best wideout in this class, but he took a backseat to Marquis Lee this past season. Still, he could be a very capable starter.

47) Dallas Cowboys: Kawann Short, DT, Purdue

Short is a great fit for Monte Kiffin's 4-3 defense. He's not the biggest guy, but he can rush the passer from the defensive tackle spot and provide a legitimate presence in the front seven. I've had him going in the first round for a while, but this is a great spot for him to shine.

48) Pittsburgh Steelers: Jon Cyprien, S, Florida International

Troy Polamalu is starting to become injury-prone, and it's not like he's young anymore. Cyprien has been rising in the eyes of many close to the draft, and he's among the best players available.

49) New York Giants: Khaseem Greene, DE/OLB, Rutgers

The Giants love drafting pass-rushers, and they've got a need there now with Osi Umenyiora's defection to Atlanta. Greene has been rising quickly, and plays both the run and the pass very well.

50) Chicago Bears: Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor

Chicago has a slight weakness behind Brandon Marshall. Alshon Jeffery showed flashes of potential, but he was hurt for a large part of the season. Williams caught almost 100 passes in his senior year at Baylor, and was a big reason RG3 won the Heisman several years ago.

51) Washington Redskins: Blidi Wreh-Wilson, CB, Connecticut

Washington is sorely lacking in their back seven, and because of it, Wreh-Wilson will have every opportunity to play from day one.

52) Minnesota Vikings: Robert Alford, CB, Southeastern Louisiana

Alford comes from a small school, but he hinted at big talent during the Combine, where he posted a sub-4.4 40 time. Minnesota was bad against the pass last year, and plays a ton of pass-happy teams in their division.

53) Cincinnati Bengals: Corey Lemonier, DE/OLB, Auburn

This may be a bit of a reach, but Cincinnati has questions about their depth at linebacker. Here, they get someone who can rotate between the line and the outside linebacker spot. Lemonier is a bit raw from a technical standpoint, but he had a great Combine that included a 4.6 40 time.

54) Miami Dolphins: Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State

I had Hankins near the back end of the first round for a while, but concerns about his weight and work ethic caused a drop. However, he fits in Miami, as several defensive linemen have contracts that will expire after this upcoming season.

55) Green Bay Packers: Matt Elam, S, Florida

Safety is a need for Green Bay, who brought Michael Huff in for a visit before watching him sign with Baltimore.

56) Seattle Seahawks: Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU

A huge, huge fall continues for Montgomery, but Pete Carroll hasn't shied away from taking players with character issues. If he coaches Montgomery up and gets all his talent out of him, this may wind up being the steal of the draft.

57) Houston Texans: Quinton Patton, WR, Louisiana Tech

Houston has long been searching for a #2 receiver behind Andre Johnson. Patton didn’t play against great competition at Louisiana Tech, but made the most of his opportunities at both the Senior Bowl and the Combine.

58) Denver Broncos: Eric Reid, S, LSU

Reid slipped in this mock through no fault of his own, and he may be a welcome addition in Denver. Their secondary was awful against Joe Flacco, and 37-year-old Champ Bailey may finally be showing his age.

59) New England Patriots: Darius Slay, CB, Mississippi State

New England struggled against the pass last year, and again, you can never have too many quality corners. Aqib Talib is a very good player, but Alfonzo Dennard has off-the-field baggage and the rest of their secondary isn't great.

60) Atlanta Falcons: Brandon Jenkins, DE, Florida State

Atlanta signed Osi Umenyiora, but that doesn't mean the Falcons are done upgrading their front seven. They had huge depth issues at defensive end last year even during their stellar season. Jenkins has some injury concerns, but at his best, he's an impact player.

61) San Francisco 49ers: D.J. Swearinger, S, South Carolina

San Francisco’s front seven is fantastic, but their group of safeties is a question mark, especially after the defection of DaShon Goldson. Swearinger, a captain for the Gamecocks and a physical presence, hits hard and covers well, so he should be an instant upgrade.

62) Baltimore Ravens: David Amerson, CB/S, N.C. State

Baltimore's secondary is a huge question mark. Lardarius Webb suffered a bad season-ending injury, and Ed Reed signed with Houston. Amerson adds versatility to a group that could have plenty of needs when it tries to defend its Super Bowl title.